Current:Home > InvestCollege Football Playoff elimination games: Which teams desperately need Week 11 win? -GrowthInsight
College Football Playoff elimination games: Which teams desperately need Week 11 win?
SignalHub Quantitative Think Tank Center View
Date:2025-04-09 22:45:32
There are four weeks left before the conference championship games, meaning we are inching closer to finding out who will be in the first 12-team College Football Playoff.
The initial reveal of the College Football Playoff rankings may have caused some surprises or frustrations, and while fans have to remember there's still plenty of football left to make one of the coveted spots, the first reveal set the path teams have to go down. As a result, the critical November games become even more important for some.
It's tough to predict the playoff field given this is an unprecedented season, but it's safe to say some teams have their hopes hanging on by a thread. So, which games have the biggest impact on who stays in the playoff race in Week 11?
No. 11 Alabama vs. No. 15 LSU
Practically an elimination game, the loser of this game can effectively kiss their College Football Playoff hopes away. Heading into the season, there were questions if a three-loss team from the SEC or Big Ten would be able qualify for the playoff given the strength in each conference. At this point, it doesn't appear to be possible.
The Crimson Tide boast one of the best wins in the country over Georgia, but the loss against Vanderbilt weighs heavy. They did lose to a quality opponent in Tennessee, but Alabama didn't look good in that one, which has been the case in some of its victories. On the other land, the Tigers are coming off a convincing loss against Texas A&M, and the season-opening defeat to Southern California gets worse as the Trojans continue to struggle.
A loss from either side will create a very difficult path toward reaching the SEC championship game and the automatic conference title bid. The loser will also take a sizable drop in the next playoff rankings, and with no highly-ranked opponents left on schedule, there isn't much left to impress the selection committee.
No. 2 Georgia vs. No. 16 Mississippi
Georgia appears its way toward making the playoff, but this is Mississippi's last stand.
There was plenty of hype prior to the season in the 'Sip for Lane Kiffin's crew with a possible path to the CFP. However, the Rebels are 7-2 headed into their toughest game of the season without any quality victories. Their best win is against South Carolina, while they lost to LSU and a bad Kentucky squad.
Now, Ole Miss needs to get one of the best wins in the country in order to keep their playoff hopes alive. A loss and the Rebels would certainly end the season without a ranked win.
WEEKEND FORECAST: SEC clashes top Week 11 picks for all Top 25 games
BUCKLE UP: Bumpy road to College Football Playoff starts with Week 11
No. 24 Colorado vs. Texas Tech
Colorado didn't play a game last week and saw its College Football Playoff chances boosted, thanks to Texas Tech. Now, the Red Raiders meet the Buffaloes in an elimination game.
Colorado is in a tie for second place in the Big 12 after winning five of its last six games, and knows a playoff spot is within its grasp. The Buffaloes, ranked No. 20 by the committee, have a realistic chance of qualifying for the conference title game and getting the automatic bid, but it relies on them at least keeping up with Iowa State. If Colorado loses, it would be at 4-2 in conference play and lose tiebreakers to Kansas State and Texas Tech with no quality victory. The current strength of schedule is at 80th, which doesn't bode well.
For Texas Tech, last week's win against then-unbeaten Iowa State revived its playoff hopes. Defeating Colorado would give them consecutive ranked victories, likely putting them in the Top 25 and just outside a conference title game spot.
No. 17 Clemson vs. Virginia Tech
Just a few weeks ago, Clemson looked like it was cruising toward the ACC title game and at worst, an at-large spot in the playoff. Now, Dabo Swinney needs some major work to get there after being ranked 23rd by the committee.
Clemson heads into Lane Stadium in need of a victory against a quality opponent. The tough season-opening loss to Georgia didn't appear to weigh as much, but now it looms large in Clemson's bid for a quality win after it couldn't handle business against Louisville. A loss would also make it nearly impossible for the Tigers to have a path to the ACC conference championship game.
No. 18 Iowa State vs. Kansas
The last-minute loss to Texas Tech hurt Iowa State, and it was made more was painful by being No. 17 in the first playoff rankings. It comes down to a lack of schedule strength.
The best win for the Cyclones is against rival Iowa, and they haven't faced the top end of the Big 12 yet. Iowa State very well can still go 11-1 and like its chances of making the playoff, but they can't drop another trap game against a Kansas team that had solid expectations prior to this seasons and lost several close games. Falling to the Jayhawks would be devastating for the Cyclones, who still can win their way into the conference championship game.
veryGood! (7962)
Related
- New data highlights 'achievement gap' for students in the US
- Cable car brought down by fallen tree in Austrian skiing area, injuring 4 people on board
- US retail mortgage lender loanDepot struggles with cyberattack
- Kristen Wiig, Will Ferrell hilariously reunite on Golden Globes stage
- 'Squid Game' without subtitles? Duolingo, Netflix encourage fans to learn Korean
- Jo Koy Defends Cute Golden Globes Joke About Taylor Swift Amid Criticism
- 4 people charged over alleged plot to smuggle hundreds of Australian native reptiles to Hong Kong
- Somaliland’s defense minister resigns over deal to give Ethiopia access to the region’s coastline
- Bill Belichick's salary at North Carolina: School releases football coach's contract details
- As Bosnian Serbs mark controversial national day, US warns celebration amounts to ‘criminal offense’
Ranking
- Have Dry, Sensitive Skin? You Need To Add These Gentle Skincare Products to Your Routine
- Explosion at Texas hotel injures 11 and scatters debris across downtown Fort Worth
- Video of 73-year-old boarded up inside his apartment sparks investigation
- Ford, Hyundai, BMW among 140,000 vehicles recalled: Check car recalls here
- Off the Grid: Sally breaks down USA TODAY's daily crossword puzzle, Triathlon
- New York governor to outline agenda ahead of crucial House elections
- US retail mortgage lender loanDepot struggles with cyberattack
- Franz Beckenbauer was a graceful and visionary ‘libero’ who changed the face of soccer
Recommendation
The Daily Money: Spending more on holiday travel?
Oscar Pistorius released on parole after serving almost 9 years for killing girlfriend Reeva Steenkamp
Brown sugar is a popular cooking ingredient. But is it healthy?
Travis Barker Reveals Strict But Not Strict Rules for Daughter Alabama Barker’s Dating Life
Israel lets Palestinians go back to northern Gaza for first time in over a year as cease
Taco Bell unveils new value menu with food as low as $1.99: See the new menu items
Trump asks Maine judge for pause to let US Supreme Court rule on ballot access
Love is in the Cart With This $111 Deal on a $349 Kate Spade Bag and Other 80% Discounts You’ll Adore